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Conflicting Visions

Key Revelations from the Harris-Trump Debate

13 سبتمبر، 2024


ABC scheduled the first presidential debate for September 10, 2024, less than two months before Americans cast their votes on Election Day, November 5, 2024. The face-off between Democratic nominee and US Vice President Kamala Harris and her Republican rival, former President Donald Trump, took place in Philadelphia, the largest city in the crucial swing state of Pennsylvania.

Key Debate Characteristics

The highlights of the debate between Harris and Trump can be noted as follows:

1. The first encounter:

This debate marked the first face-to-face meeting between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. Their political trajectories have been intertwined since 2016 when Harris was elected to the Senate and Trump to the White House. Over the years, Harris gained a reputation for her pointed questioning of Trump administration officials. Four years later, she played a crucial role in defeating Trump as Joe Biden's vice presidential nominee. Notably, the traditional meeting between incoming and outgoing administrations on Inauguration Day didn't occur in January 2021, as Trump chose not to attend President Biden's inauguration.

2. A Pivotal moment:

While this debate represents Trump's seventh since his initial run in 2016, it is Harris' debut in this format. This makes the event particularly significant for Harris' political career, especially considering her late entry into the electoral race and her relatively lower public profile compared to Trump's four-year presidency.

The debate presents a critical opportunity for Harris to connect with a broad spectrum of American voters, particularly young people who may be dissatisfied with Biden's stance on the Gaza conflict. It is a delicate balancing act for Harris: she must subtly distance herself from certain aspects of Biden's presidential record while maintaining loyalty to the current president. This approach is crucial in light of voter dissatisfaction in swing states regarding the economic situation and their desire for change.

For Trump, this debate offers a chance to overcome the challenges his presidential campaign faced during a difficult summer. Harris' success in narrowing the polling gap adds pressure, especially given Trump's previous lead over Biden before the latter's withdrawal from the race on July 21.

The debate's location in Pennsylvania further amplifies its importance. As a key swing state that has flipped between parties in recent elections (Trump in 2016, Biden in 2020), Pennsylvania represents the epicenter of American political competition. The state's status as a "purple" battleground means that any misstep by either candidate during the debate could significantly impact the voting outcome.

3. The Party equation:

Initial assessments suggest that the debate resulted in a tie, with neither candidate landing a decisive blow. The exchange lacked spontaneity and surprises, as both sides adopted a cautious approach. Harris managed to score some points and appeared strong in her role as the aggressor, while Trump refrained from aggressive tactics, likely to avoid accusations of racism or misogyny.

The candidates' strategies were evident in their targeted appeals to specific voting blocs. Harris focused her message on American women voters and minorities, while Trump directed his rhetoric towards his traditional base of white male voters without college degrees.

Divergent Positions

The recent debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump showcased a wide range of issues, featuring intense exchanges between the two bitter rivals. While Harris positioned herself as a pragmatic problem solver, attempting to downplay Trump as a "potential dictator," Trump vigorously defended his proposed policies, attacked Harris as an extremist, and blamed her for failing immigration policies. The debate highlighted stark contrasts in their positions on several controversial issues:

1. Economic vision:

The candidates' economic views diverged sharply during the debate. Harris emphasized her commitment to what she called the "opportunity economy," presenting herself as a champion for the middle and working classes. Recognizing the potential vulnerability of her campaign due to the Biden administration's economic performance, she expressed solidarity with Americans struggling with high housing costs, pledged to cut taxes, and explicitly criticized Trump's tax policies.

In contrast, Trump lambasted the Biden-Harris economy, declaring, "I've never seen a worse time." He staunchly defended his tariff plans and branded Harris a "Marxist." It appears that this exchange illuminated a clear distinction between Trump's focus on economic power and protectionism and Harris' emphasis on justice and equality.

2. Immigration and border security:

The debate not only shed light on each candidate's views on immigration and border security but also revealed the potential risks facing millions of immigrants living in the United States, particularly those from Asian, African, and Black communities.

Trump's immigration rhetoric remained deeply entrenched in his nationalist agenda. He reiterated his commitment to tightening border controls, reducing both legal and illegal immigration, and completing the border wall with Mexico. His core argument centered on the notion that immigrants are taking American jobs and posing numerous security threats.

Harris, on the other hand, framed immigration as a moral and economic necessity. She advocated for a humane approach to immigration, including expanded refugee acceptance. In her view, diversity is America's greatest strength, with immigrants being an integral part of the nation's story and key to its future success.

Observers noted that Trump's hostility towards immigrants led him to make controversial statements, such as claiming that Haitian immigrants eat pets in Springfield, Ohio. In contrast, Harris appeared more measured, leveraging her experience in prosecution to position herself as a candidate for law and order through practical political solutions.

3. Abortion rights:

The abortion issue ignited a heated exchange during the debate. Trump sought to reaffirm his position on banning abortion, while Harris vehemently attacked him, deeming his policy "immoral" and in conflict with a woman's right to bodily autonomy. Analysts observed that Harris appeared strongest when discussing abortion, while Trump relied on inflammatory rhetoric, accusing Democrats of supporting what he called the "execution" of children after birth. Harris's impassioned defense of abortion rights resonated more strongly with the audience, potentially aligning more closely with core American values of individual freedom.

4. Climate change:

Harris asserted that climate change is "very real," strategically linking the issue to two key points. First, she connected climate change to the rising cost of homeowners' insurance in the United States, arguing that extreme weather events resulting from global warming are driving up insurance premiums. Second, she highlighted the Biden administration's trillion-dollar investments in clean energy, which she claimed have created new manufacturing jobs in the renewable energy sector while fostering innovation.

Trump, conversely, downplayed the importance of combating climate change, instead focusing on the economic benefits of traditional energy sources. 

5. Racial priorities:

Harris methodically listed a series of racial controversies involving Trump, including his legal settlement regarding discrimination against potential Black tenants in his New York apartment buildings in the 1970s, his ad calling for the execution of wrongfully accused Black and Latino teenagers in the Central Park jogger case, and his promotion of the "birther" conspiracy theory questioning former President Barack Obama's birthplace.

Observers noted that Harris sought to portray Trump as a divisive figure who exploits racial differences, while positioning herself as a defender of racial justice. She described the country's racial diversity as America's greatest strength, attempting to draw a clear distinction between her inclusive vision and Trump's more controversial stance on race relations.

6. Healthcare and the "Obamacare" debate:

Although Harris's healthcare plan lacked specific details, she staunchly defended the Affordable Care Act (Obamacare). She argued that without it, healthcare costs for Americans would be prohibitively high and warned that Trump's attempts to repeal the ACA would harm millions of Americans.

Trump, for his part, announced his intention to create a healthcare program superior to Obamacare. When pressed for details, he claimed to have "concepts for a plan," but offered no concrete specifics. He maintained that he would not alter the status quo unless he could implement a better and less expensive alternative.

7. Foreign policy and national security issues:

The debate between the two candidates on foreign policy matters revealed significant differences in their approaches:

a) The Ukraine dilemma:

Trump and Harris presented contrasting views on the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Trump, emphasizing his personal relationships with key leaders, claimed he could swiftly end the war if elected. He reiterated his belief that Putin would not have invaded under his presidency and stressed that ending the "bloody conflict" was in America's best interest. Observers find it unfortunate that Harris was not asked this question. She was only asked to answer her question about the war, taking the opportunity to point out the dangers of Putin's aggression.

Harris, on the other hand, used the discussion to highlight Trump's alleged fondness for strongmen and international tyrants. She warned that these leaders were encouraging Trump's potential return to power. Notably, while Harris criticized Trump's stance, she provided little detail about her own approach to Ukraine, suggesting a continuation of Biden's current policies.

b) The Gaza conflict:

The candidates' positions on the Gaza war reflected their attempts to appeal to different voter bases. Harris, targeting progressives, leftists, and Muslim minorities, called for an end to the war, a ceasefire, hostage release, and a two-state solution to rebuild Gaza.

Trump, conversely, sought to win over the American Jewish community. He accused Harris of hating Israel and ominously predicted Israel's demise within two years if she were to win. Observers have noted that although Trump has occasionally tried to provoke anger among Arab Americans regarding Biden's handling of the conflict, he quickly abandoned that approach during the debate. Instead, he criticized Harris for snubbing Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu during his recent visit to Capitol Hill.

Trump also attempted to link the Hamas attacks to the Biden administration's Iran policy, claiming that his sanctions had previously left Iran unable to fund groups like Hamas and Hezbollah.

c) China and tariffs:

Despite China's significance as a political and economic challenger to the U.S., the debate's focus on this topic was surprisingly limited. Trump boasted about forcing China to pay billions, while the discussion largely centered on tariffs and their economic impact. Neither candidate delved deeply into strategies for addressing Chinese influence and military expansion, instead debating the merits and targeting of tariffs as an economic tool.

d) Transatlantic relations:

Trump's stance on the future of transatlantic relationships was unequivocal. He emphasized the need for significantly increased European defense spending, claiming his previous policies had already pushed Europeans to boost their defense investments. Observers believe that the debate served as a stark reminder to Europeans of Washington's potential instability as an ally, particularly given Trump's explicit threat to impose substantial tariffs on European goods.

Debate Results

The most notable immediate results of the debate can be summarized as follows:

1. Polls in Harris' favor:

A CNN poll conducted after the debate revealed a significant advantage for the Democratic candidate. Nearly two-thirds of viewers believed Harris outperformed her Republican opponent, with 63% declaring her the winner compared to only 37% for Trump. 

2. Russia's displeasure:

The Kremlin expressed dissatisfaction with how Russia was portrayed during the debate. Specifically, they objected to the manner in which Russian President Vladimir Putin's name was invoked by both candidates. In response to Trump's assertion that he could end the war in Ukraine with a simple phone call to Putin, the Kremlin dismissively stated, "Such a call will not end anything." 

In assessing the debate's overall impact, it can be said that it largely achieved its intended goals. However, it remains challenging to predict the ultimate outcome of the presidential race at this juncture. Rather than providing a clear victor, the debate instead reinforced the notion that determining the election's result will be a formidable task, particularly given the continued closeness of opinion polls.

Nevertheless, an initial analysis of the Harris-Trump debate confirmed the vast ideological chasm between the candidates. This stark contrast presented Americans with a conflicting duality: Harris emerged as the candidate championing "diversity, equality, justice, and inclusion of minorities," while Trump steadfastly upheld his "America First" banner. Trump's platform emphasized maintaining power, implementing economic protectionism, and enforcing law and order policies—an approach he argues will insulate the United States from global challenges that have impeded its progress and international leadership.