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From Money to Soft Power

Analyzing how New Trends are Redefining China’s Policy Toward Africa

29 أكتوبر، 2024


A consistent theme emerges: the world's attention is increasingly focused on Africa. To fully comprehend the intricacies of the renewed international interest in the continent, one must consider the broader global context. The United Nations' recent adoption of the "Pact for the Future" emphasizes the critical importance of global partnerships for Africa, which are essential in addressing the continent's pressing challenges, ranging from demographic shifts and rapid urbanization to infrastructure development and energy transitions.

African nations are actively diversifying their international relations, engaging with a multitude of global actors including China, the European Union, Turkey, Brazil, and other emerging powers. This strategic shift occurs against a backdrop of increasing global division, characterized by geopolitical tensions and conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, which inevitably impact Africa as well. In this complex landscape, African countries are strategically exploring ways to leverage these external partnerships to drive their own development agendas. A prime example of this is the activation of the African Continental Free Trade Agreement (AfCFTA), which holds immense potential to reshape the continent's economic landscape by fostering industrialization, technological advancement, and growth in the services sector.

Understanding the implications and dynamics of these partnerships is crucial for Africa's future development trajectory. This article aims to delve deeper into these evolving relationships, with a particular emphasis on the shifting approach of China towards Africa. It seeks to move beyond the initial narratives surrounding China's entry into the continent at the turn of the millennium, offering a more nuanced and contemporary perspective on this significant global partnership.

New Features

China appears to have redefined its African approach in recent years, as follows:

1- Strategic Partnerships:

The Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) highlights the dynamic evolution of Africa's relationships with major global powers. Although China's pledged support of $51 billion represents a decrease from previous commitments, it nonetheless underscores the strength of China-Africa relations. Beyond these headline figures, a significant shift is occurring: there is a growing recognition of Africa's own agency in shaping these partnerships. African leaders are increasingly assertive, advocating for more equitable trade arrangements that ensure reciprocal market access, demanding that China's markets be as open to African goods as African markets have been to Chinese products.

This partnership gains additional significance when viewed through the lens of global geopolitical competition, particularly among the United States, China, and Russia. It not only highlights Africa's strategic importance on the world stage but also reflects the complex balancing act African countries must perform. They face the challenge of navigating an intricate international landscape while steadfastly protecting their development priorities. This delicate equilibrium underscores the critical need for ongoing, substantive dialogue as African nations continue to engage with various global partners. Through these interactions, they aim to enhance their agency and secure a more prominent position in an increasingly multipolar world order.

The relationship between China and Africa has undergone a remarkable transformation, evolving from a predominantly economic partnership to a multifaceted alliance that now encompasses strategic political dimensions. At the heart of this deepening engagement lies China's substantial investment in African infrastructure, exemplified by ambitious initiatives such as the Belt and Road Initiative, which has been instrumental in cementing China's influence across the continent. As this relationship matures, it has witnessed a seamless integration of political objectives alongside economic interests, reflecting a more holistic approach to Sino-African cooperation.

This strategic shift was underscored by President Xi Jinping's recent decision to elevate diplomatic relations with African nations to the level of strategic partnerships, a move that unmistakably signals China's long-term commitment to the continent. This diplomatic upgrade goes beyond mere economic collaboration, emphasizing political alignment and shared global aspirations. It clearly indicates that China views Africa as a pivotal partner on the international stage, particularly as Beijing seeks to enhance its influence within global institutions and shape the future world order.

China's growing emphasis on innovative diplomatic frameworks, such as the "comprehensive cooperative strategic partnership" extended to select African nations, serves the following three interconnected goals:

a. A deeper political approach: This development signifies an intensifying collaboration that extends far beyond economic ties, encompassing crucial sectors such as security, governance, and international diplomacy. The strategic partnership between South Africa and China serves as a prime example, demonstrating their close alignment on key global issues within influential multilateral platforms. Both nations consistently coordinate their positions in forums like BRICS and the United Nations, presenting unified stances on critical matters such as trade policies, climate change initiatives, and proposed reforms in global governance structures.

b. Securing economic interests: China's growing political engagement in Africa serves a dual purpose: safeguarding its vital economic interests, particularly access to crucial minerals, while simultaneously establishing itself as a key ally in Africa's developmental journey.

c. Offsetting Western influence: This political shift not only reflects China's growing influence but also underscores its strategic efforts to counterbalance Western dominance in Africa. By offering an alternative model of partnership, China emphasizes mutual benefit and non-interference in other states' internal affairs, distinguishing itself from traditional Western approaches. This nuanced strategy aims to secure long-term cooperation and stability while aligning with China's broader global objectives, particularly in the context of a rapidly evolving geopolitical landscape.

2- Leveraging small-scale projects:

In the economic sphere, China's infrastructure investments in Africa have undergone a significant transformation, embracing the concept of "small but beautiful projects." This shift marks a departure from the previous focus on large-scale endeavors such as dams, highways, and railroads. Instead, recent trends reveal a growing emphasis on more scalable and adaptable initiatives, particularly in sectors like renewable energy, smart grids, and technology. These small-scale projects, often featuring modular elements, offer greater flexibility and ease of implementation while still delivering a substantial cumulative impact. Moreover, they tend to avoid the controversies and challenges that frequently plague larger investments, such as environmental concerns or political backlash over unsustainable debt levels.

By honing in on smaller, more targeted projects, China can sustain its investments in Africa while mitigating scrutiny and risk. These focused initiatives align seamlessly with Africa's development priorities, particularly in areas such as green energy transition and value addition to mineral exports. As nations across the continent strive to ascend the value chain and diversify their economies, China's expertise and surplus capacity in industries like solar energy offer a prime opportunity for mutual benefit. Consequently, although the scale of China's infrastructure investments may evolve, the fundamental objective of fortifying economic ties and ensuring long-term engagement in Africa remains steadfast.

3- Leadership of the Global South:

The evolving landscape of international alliances underscores a significant shift in global perception: the primary geopolitical division is no longer strictly East versus West, but increasingly North versus South. This transformation is particularly evident in global issues such as climate change and international crises, where the Global South, including African nations, has emerged as a central player. Within this context, China's evolving role as part of the Global South and as an advocate for alternative modernization paths has gained considerable significance.

Recent Chinese rhetoric explicitly frames Western modernization as inextricably linked to colonialism, a narrative that resonates deeply with many African countries that endured Western exploitation during and after the colonial period. Consequently, the evolving China-Africa relationship unfolds against the backdrop of this broader North-South divide. China has strategically positioned itself as a model for modernization within the Global South, promoting a compelling narrative of a shared future and joint development. This approach aligns closely with the aspirations of numerous African countries for fairer multilateral systems, as exemplified by their persistent push for permanent African representation on the United Nations Security Council.

Opportunities and Challenges

This evolving Sino-African partnership presents a landscape rich with opportunities, yet it is not devoid of potential pitfalls. The following points elucidate the inherent risks associated with this burgeoning relationship:

1- Partnership or dominance?

Historically, Africa's foreign partnerships have been characterized by exploitation and structural exclusion, a situation often encapsulated by the African proverb: "When elephants fight, the grass gets trampled." This legacy naturally raises concerns that new relationships, particularly with nations like China, might perpetuate these detrimental patterns. However, alongside these potential risks, there are also significant opportunities for Africa to harness its growing political influence, especially in terms of its substantial voting power in international forums. The critical challenge, therefore, lies in skillfully navigating these complex dynamics to ensure that Africa emerges not as a mere pawn in global geopolitics, but as an active and influential player shaping its own destiny within the evolving narrative of the Global South.

2- Consequences of rapid industrialization:

China's rapid industrialization over the past few decades has come at a significant environmental cost, with pollution becoming an inescapable reality for its citizens. This situation raises critical considerations about the long-term impact of such aggressive industrial growth and prompts us to question whether African countries, in their cooperation with China, are seriously contemplating the potential environmental ramifications of adopting a similar developmental model.

As African nations forge partnerships with China, they must exercise caution to avoid inheriting polluting industries that China itself may be phasing out in an effort to protect its own environment. This concern extends to a broader question: are African governments genuinely prioritizing environmental protection in their dealings with foreign powers?

While the construction of impressive infrastructure is undoubtedly important for economic growth, it cannot be considered sufficient if we cannot guarantee clean air and a healthy environment for future generations. Therefore, it is imperative that African countries pursue a sustainable development approach that carefully balances industrial growth with environmental responsibility.

3- Implications of financial cooperation:

The evolving Sino-African relations, particularly within the context of financial and developmental cooperation, present a complex landscape of opportunities and challenges. At the heart of this dynamic relationship lies the critical aspect of financial engagement between African countries and China, exemplified by Zambia's recent debt restructuring deal with the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China. This landmark agreement offers valuable insights for other African nations, especially in light of the substantial credit lines emerging from forums such as the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation.

Drawing from Zambia's experience, African countries should adopt a more proactive approach in their dealings with China. By consulting with nations like Zambia, they can gain crucial knowledge on negotiating favorable financial terms and ensuring that these agreements align seamlessly with their national development objectives. Furthermore, the co-design of financing terms, whether concessional or commercial, based on successful past engagements, will play a pivotal role in shaping a sustainable financial future for these nations.

Moreover, China's Global Development Initiative and similar strategic frameworks necessitate greater involvement from African nations. Both public and private sectors in these countries must intensify their efforts to actively identify "small and beautiful" projects that extend beyond China's sole influence. The symbolism of Sino-African partnerships, exemplified by political exchanges between African and Chinese officials, underscores a commitment to deepening mutual understanding of societies, cultures, and political systems. This enhanced comprehension is vital for addressing broader geopolitical challenges and ensuring more consistent, coordinated efforts in the future.

African countries must continue to bolster their capacity for effective negotiation, informed decision-making, and maximizing the benefits of these strategic partnerships. Notably, African governments no longer solely rely on "big checks" from China. The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs is set to play a more prominent role in the Global Development Initiative, reflecting China's increasingly diplomatic and political approach to development assistance. This shift signifies a transformation in the new partnership's focus, moving from financial aid to soft power dynamics for both China and African governments.

In conclusion, Africa stands at a critical juncture in today's multipolar world. While China remains a crucial economic partner, African nations are strategically diversifying their international relationships. They're welcoming a broader spectrum of global players, balancing traditional allies like the European Union, United Kingdom, and United States with emerging powers such as India, Turkey, Brazil, and Arab states. These latter nations are forging a unique path, distinct from both Chinese and Western approaches. This expanded array of partnerships empowers African leaders to reassess their strategies and align their policies with long-term national interests. As global dynamics continue to shift, Africa is well-positioned to actively shape its destiny, leveraging its increased agency to craft a future on its own terms.