Due to the alternating strategic dynamics in
the region in 2020 and the impact of the US-Iran escalation on the region,
"Future Center for Advanced Research and Studies" has hosted a series
of panel discussions in the beginning of the year, with a special session
dedicated to the discussion on the implications of the American-Iranian crisis
on regional security. The session examined the possible reactions of
the crisis such as the internal situation in Iraq, American-Iraqi relations,
and the possible paths for the American-Iranian conundrum.
The session was organized via the video
conference with Dr. Muthanna Al-Obaidi, Dean of the College of Political
Science at Tikrit University in Iraq, and Dr. Muhammad Abbas Naji, the Iranian
expert at the Al-Ahram Center for Political and Strategic Studies, Cairo Egypt.
The discussion has laid out the assumption
that that the escalation between Washington and Tehran might have negative
repercussions on the Iraqi internal dynamics as well as on US-Iraqi relations,
especially after the Iraqi parliament’s decision to approve the exit of foreign
military forces from the country.
The panel discussion concluded that there
might be two possible paths of escalation between the United States and Iran:
firstly, the continuation of escalation through ‘proxy operations’ by Iran, in
which American interests might be targeted without Tehran's direct involvement,
or that the second route will be hanging on a political solution, which is
fastidiously been taking place since the United States' exit from the nuclear
agreement in May 2018.